{"id":2906,"date":"2008-11-05T14:45:43","date_gmt":"2008-11-05T12:45:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/?p=2906"},"modified":"2014-05-21T01:35:13","modified_gmt":"2014-05-20T22:35:13","slug":"bu-kimin-krizi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/?p=2906","title":{"rendered":"Bu kimin krizi?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130tirafa bak\u0131n dostlar itirafa: \u201c\u015eok i\u00e7indeyim. 40 y\u0131ld\u0131r i\u015fledi\u011fini sand\u0131\u011f\u0131m model me\u011ferse hatal\u0131ym\u0131\u015f.\u201d<\/em> <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Kim s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor bunu? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Alan Greenspan. FED eski ba\u015fkan\u0131. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Eee n\u2019olmu\u015f?<\/font><\/font><\/span><\/strong> <\/p>\n

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Ne mi olmu\u015f? Yahu adam d\u00fcnya neo-liberalizminin koro \u015fefi. 40 y\u0131ld\u0131r t\u0131k\u0131r t\u0131k\u0131r i\u015fledi\u011fini sand\u0131\u011f\u0131 sistem de \u201cserbest piyasa ekonomisi\u201d.<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Hani 12 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019le birlikte tan\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, \u00d6zall\u0131, \u00c7illerli, Tayyipli y\u0131llar\u0131n g\u00f6zbebe\u011fi\u2026 \u0130nsanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n tek umudu y\u00fcce ideoloji\u2026 Me\u011fer hepsi yalanm\u0131\u015f…<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

– Laf\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fcp dola\u015ft\u0131r\u0131p yine ideolojiye getirdin ya\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span><\/strong> <\/p>\n

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Yahu ben de\u011fil, Amerikal\u0131 kongre \u00fcyesi s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor adam\u0131; \u201cyani ideolojiniz yanl\u0131\u015ft\u0131 m\u0131 demek istiyorsunuz?<\/em>\u201d diye…<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Yan\u0131t da \u0131k\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131na geliyor b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015feften: \u201cEvet, ger\u00e7ekli\u011fe uymuyorsa\u2026\u201d<\/em><\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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– Demek \u00f6yle, ger\u00e7ekli\u011fe uymuyorsa ha! Bu kadar kolayd\u0131 yani\u2026 O ideoloji u\u011fruna d\u00fcnyan\u0131n son 40 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 cehenneme \u00e7evirdiniz. \u015eimdi sizin de, ideolojinizin de cehennem olup gitme vaktidir art\u0131k\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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***<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Lakin sak\u0131n aldanmayal\u0131m dostlar; olup bitenler bir avu\u00e7 yeni yetme \u201cCEO<\/span><\/em>\u201d<\/span>nun, a\u00e7g\u00f6zl\u00fc spek\u00fclat\u00f6r\u00fcn i\u015fi de\u011fil\u2026 Ne de t\u00fcrev piyasalarda finans m\u00fchendisli\u011fine soyunmu\u015f harika \u00e7ocuklar\u0131n… <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00c7ok daha fazlas\u0131…<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Onlar sadece piyondu. \u0130nan\u00e7s\u0131z, de\u011fersiz, bilgisiz, zavall\u0131 piyonlar.<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Onlar ne yapt\u0131ysa efendilerinin izniyle yapt\u0131. Piyasaya paray\u0131 bas\u0131p, tarihin en b\u00fcy\u00fck kredi k\u00f6p\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yaratan efendilerinin. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Peki ya efendiler? Onlar patlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bile bile neden g\u00f6z yumdular balonun bu kadar \u015fi\u015firilmesine? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Bile bile diyorum, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc adam 40 y\u0131l \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131k yazm\u0131\u015f. \u201cFED\u2019in piyasaya pompalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kredi borsaya s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131 ve muazzam bir k\u00f6p\u00fck yaratt\u0131\u2026 1929\u2019da spek\u00fclatif dengesizlikler \u00f6yle bir d\u00fczeye ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ki neticede ABD ekonomisi \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc.<\/em>\u201d <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u0130\u015fte b\u00f6yle diyor Greenspan, 1967\u2019de \u201cAlt\u0131n ve Ekonomik \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 denemesinde. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Demek ki bal gibi biliyor ger\u00e7e\u011fi. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00d6yleyse FED\u2019in ba\u015f\u0131na ge\u00e7ince ne oldu? Ne oldu da yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Bernake ile birlikte Friedman\u2019\u0131n \u00e7izgisine geldiler? 2002\u2019de onun onuruna d\u00fczenlenen bir konferansta \u201cHakl\u0131s\u0131n\u0131z. Biz yapt\u0131k. \u00dczg\u00fcn\u00fcz. Ancak sayenizde bir daha yapmayaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d <\/em>dediler.<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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***<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Peki onlar ne yapm\u0131\u015f, Friedman ne demi\u015fti? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Onlar, \u201cbiz yapt\u0131k<\/em>\u201d derken 1929 krizindeki FED y\u00f6neticilerini kastediyordu. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Friedman ise 1957\u2019de yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir kitapta 1929 krizini FED\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na ba\u011flam\u0131\u015f ve \u201cDo\u011fru politika olsayd\u0131 depresyon olmayacakt\u0131<\/em>\u201d demi\u015fti. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u0130yi de sormazlar m\u0131 adama: 1967\u2019de krizi \u201cmuazzam bir spek\u00fclatif k\u00f6p\u00fck neticesi<\/em>\u201d diye tahlil ederken, Friedman\u2019\u0131n 10 y\u0131l \u00f6nce yazd\u0131klar\u0131ndan habersiz miydin? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Allah a\u015fk\u0131na, sizin hangi s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcze inanaca\u011f\u0131z? Hangisi ger\u00e7ek? 1967 mi? 2002 mi? Yoksa 2008 mi?<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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67\u2019de yaz\u0131lanlar ortadayken 2002\u2019de neden birden Friedman\u2019\u0131n pe\u015fine tak\u0131ld\u0131n\u0131z?<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Monetarizmin teorisyeni, \u00e7a\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n en ate\u015fli serbest piyasa savunucusu bu zat-\u0131 muhtereme ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 sergilemek i\u00e7in neden onca zaman beklediniz? Thatcher kadar, Pinochet kadar, hatta \u00d6zal kadar bile olamad\u0131n\u0131z m\u0131? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Peki \u015fimdi ne oldu? 2008\u2019de neden 40 y\u0131ll\u0131k ideolojinize s\u0131rt \u00e7evirdiniz? \u015eimdi de Keynes\u2019i mi pazarlayacaks\u0131n\u0131z bize? Yoksa sizin bir ideolojiniz hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131 m\u0131? Sahi, emperyalist sistemin borusunu \u00fcflemekten ba\u015fka ne i\u015fe yarars\u0131n\u0131z siz?<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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***<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Dostlar biliyorsunuz; <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Saklamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 ger\u00e7ek kapitalizmin ta kendisidir ve krizler onun do\u011fas\u0131nda vard\u0131r. Marx daha 19. y\u00fczy\u0131lda form\u00fcle etmi\u015f d\u00fczenin ruhundaki \u00e7eli\u015fkileri. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Kapitalizm yani art\u0131 de\u011fer s\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fczerine kurulan sermaye birikimi s\u00fcreci, kendini yeniden ve yeniden \u00fcretmek zorunda. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Oysa kapitalizmin kendi i\u00e7 dinami\u011finden kaynaklanan bir\u00e7ok nedenle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan \u201c\u00fcretim fazlas\u0131 \/ talep yetersizli\u011fi<\/em>\u201d sonucu, bu zincir orta yerinden kopuyor. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00dcretilen mallar sat\u0131lamay\u0131nca yani mal\u0131n i\u00e7indeki k\u00e2r\u0131n \/ art\u0131 de\u011ferin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 s\u00fcreci aksay\u0131nca, yeni art\u0131\u011f\u0131n olu\u015fumu da gecikiyor. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Bunun do\u011fal sonucu olarak yat\u0131r\u0131mlar aks\u0131yor, maliyetler ve i\u015fsizlik artarken, \u00fccretler azal\u0131p talep d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Buyrun size bir k\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fc\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Peki ne yapmal\u0131? \u00c7ok basit: Art\u0131 de\u011ferin yeniden \u00fcretim s\u00fcrecinde olu\u015fan gecikmeleri, kredi k\u00f6p\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ile doldurmal\u0131. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Yani pantolon uyduramad\u0131k g\u00f6mlek verelim misali reel ekonomide s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 varsa ya\u015fas\u0131n \u201ck\u00fcreselle\u015fme!\u201d Para sermayenin serbest dola\u015f\u0131m\u0131 ve yoksul \u00fclkelerin talan\u0131 \u00fczerine kurulu bir sermaye birikim s\u00fcreci\u2026 Yan\u0131nda ayak direyenlerin, uyum sa\u011flayamayanlar\u0131n yok edildi\u011fi \u201cYeni D\u00fcnya D\u00fczeni\u201d de cabas\u0131. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Zaten \u201cTarih Bitti\u201d. Kapitalizmin alternatifi kalmad\u0131! Ulusal ekonomileri atars\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6p sepetine, devletin ne i\u015fi var zaten ekonomide\u2026 \u00d6zelle\u015ftirmeler, t\u00fcrev piyasalar, t\u00fcrl\u00fc \u00e7e\u015fit spek\u00fclasyonlar, borsa-faiz vs. yoluyla k\u00e2r transferleri\u2026 Alan memnun satan memnun\u2026 Ho\u015f geldiniz k\u00fcresel k\u00f6y\u00fcm\u00fcze\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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\u0130yi de nereye kadar?<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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***<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Zaten \u00fcretilmi\u015f servetlerin talan\u0131 \u00fczerine kurulu sermaye birikim modeli bir noktada t\u0131kanacak; a\u00e7\u0131k de\u011fil mi? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Gelecekte \u00fcretilece\u011fi varsay\u0131lan art\u0131 de\u011fere g\u00fcvenerek verilen kredilerden olu\u015fan k\u00f6p\u00fck bir g\u00fcn s\u00f6necek; belli de\u011fil mi? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u00dcretimi, planlamay\u0131, kalk\u0131nmay\u0131 d\u0131\u015flayan bu sistem bir g\u00fcn \u00e7\u00f6kecek; a\u015fik\u00e2r de\u011fil mi?<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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\u0130\u015fte \u015fimdi, bu g\u00fcnlerdeyiz dostlar. \u00dcretim fazlas\u0131 krizini a\u015fmak i\u00e7in ba\u015fvurulan, parasal-k\u00fcresel politikalar\u0131n da iflas etti\u011fi g\u00fcnlerde\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Yani, art\u0131k ka\u00e7acak yerleri yok. Deniz bitti. D\u00fcnya ekonomisi bu faturay\u0131 \u00f6deyecek. \u00d6deyecek ve tarihin bize \u00f6\u011fretti\u011fi odur ki bu kriz de a\u015f\u0131lacak\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Kapitalist sistem, kapasite fazlas\u0131n\u0131 bir \u015fekilde yok ederek kendini yeniden \u00fcretmeye devam edecek, sermaye birikimi s\u00fcrecek. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Peki, bir c\u00fcmlede \u00f6zetlenen bu s\u00fcrecin insanl\u0131k i\u00e7in anlam\u0131 ne? <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Onu da bir kelimeyle \u00f6zetleyelim: korkun\u00e7 bir \u201cy\u0131k\u0131m<\/em>\u201d.<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Kapitalizmin tarihi, \u00fcretim fazlas\u0131n\u0131n yok edildi\u011fi sava\u015flar\u0131n, b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomik buhranlar\u0131n, toplumsal alt-\u00fcst olu\u015flar\u0131n da tarihidir. Ve bu tarihin hi\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fmeyen bir ger\u00e7e\u011fi vard\u0131r ki; faturay\u0131 hep emek\u00e7iler \u00f6der.<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Bu kez de \u00f6yle olacak\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Daha \u015fimdiden piyasaya pompalanan trilyonlarca dolar, kurtar\u0131lan \u015firketler, kamula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lan bat\u0131k bankalar neyin ifadesi ki? Bu politikalar\u0131n d\u00fcnya halklar\u0131na durgunluk, yoksulluk, i\u015fsizlik olarak yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 herkes biliyor. <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Yine herkes biliyor ki, bunlar daha ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7. D\u00fcnya ekonomisinin yeniden aya\u011fa kalkmas\u0131 \u00e7ok daha sanc\u0131l\u0131 olacak, \u00e7ok canlar yanacak\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Ve d\u00fcnya halklar\u0131 kapitalist-emperyalist sistemin ger\u00e7ek se\u00e7ene\u011fini yaratana kadar bu b\u00f6yle s\u00fcr\u00fcp gidecek\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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***<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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Laf\u0131n sonuna geldik dostlar.. Ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok ilgin\u00e7 haberler geliyor:<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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-Almanya\u2019da i\u015fverenler deyim yerindeyse bir t\u00fcr planl\u0131 ekonomiyi konu\u015fmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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-Sarkozy, Avrupa ekonomisinin yeniden d\u00fczenlenmesi i\u00e7in bir plan sunmu\u015f\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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-Bir zamanlar kom\u00fcnist \u00fclkelerde oldu\u011fu gibi, 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k kalk\u0131nma planlar\u0131ndan s\u00f6z edilir olmu\u015f\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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-Medvedev, ekonomide ABD sisteminin iflas etti\u011fini ve yeni bir sistem gerekti\u011fini ileri s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015f\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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-Bloomberg, \u201cen b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u00f6p\u00fck k\u00fcreselle\u015fmeymi\u015f\u201d<\/em> demi\u015f\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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-Adam Smith\u2019in \u201cg\u00f6r\u00fcnmez el\u201dini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015fler. \u0130\u00e7inde, \u201cb\u0131rak\u0131n\u0131z yaps\u0131nlar, b\u0131rak\u0131n\u0131z ge\u00e7sinler\u201d yaz\u0131yormu\u015f\u2026 \u0130lahiler e\u015fli\u011finde kurucusu oldu\u011fu \u201cliberal iktisat ve kapitalizm\u201d m\u00fczesine kald\u0131rm\u0131\u015flar\u2026<\/font><\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

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-Keynesyen teoriler tozlu raflardan indirilmi\u015f; piyasalara devlet m\u00fcdahalesi ile daha g\u00fcvenilir bir ekonomik model gelecekmi\u015f\u2026 <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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Ve nihayet; <\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n

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-Chavez, \u201ckapitalist sistemi yeniden in\u015fa etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil, bu t\u0131pk\u0131, okyanusun dibini boylam\u0131\u015f Titanik\u2019le yolculuk yapmaya \u00e7abalamak gibi bir \u015fey\u201d <\/em>demi\u015f…<\/font><\/font><\/span>\u00a0<\/font><\/span> <\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ve son s\u00f6z: \u201cDas Kapital<\/em>\u201d yok sat\u0131yormu\u015f!<\/font><\/font><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130tirafa bak\u0131n dostlar itirafa: \u201c\u015eok i\u00e7indeyim. 40 y\u0131ld\u0131r i\u015fledi\u011fini sand\u0131\u011f\u0131m model me\u011ferse hatal\u0131ym\u0131\u015f.\u201d – Kim s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor bunu? \u00a0 Alan Greenspan....<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[55],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2906","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ecz-nabi-altunay"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2906","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2906"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2906\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3984,"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2906\/revisions\/3984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2906"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2906"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.ced.org.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2906"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}