KESK-AR yeni bir finansman krizinin ya\u015fanabilece\u011fini belirtti. Enflasyonun art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimine girdi\u011fini vurgulad\u0131, hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyerek uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00a0<\/p>\n
KESK Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Birimi (KESK-AR) enflasyonun y\u00fckselme e\u011filimine dikkat \u00e7ekti ve hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n
KESK-AR\u2019\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 enflasyon raporuna g\u00f6re TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n daha \u00f6nce y\u00fczde 5 olan enflasyon hedefinin y\u00fczde 5,2 – 7,2 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00fckselmesine neden oldu.<\/p>\n
May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den para \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n devam etti\u011finin vurguland\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri’nin (ABD) k\u00fcresel piyasalardan paray\u0131 \u00e7ekme giri\u015fiminin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu spek\u00fclatif piyasalara ve ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 ekonomileri olumsuz etkiledi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
\u201cT\u00fcrkiye ise ba\u015fta cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelere g\u00f6re a\u00e7\u0131k ara farkla y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131ndan kaynakl\u0131, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ten en fazla etkilenecek \u00fclkelerin ba\u015f\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u201cGe\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re 6 milyar dolara yak\u0131n art\u0131\u015fla alt\u0131 ayl\u0131k cari a\u00e7\u0131k 35,9 milyar dolara ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u201c2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda kriz d\u00f6neminde milli gelire oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 10\u2019lara dayanan cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 7-10 band\u0131nda olmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00f6nemli bir finansman sorunuyla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini kuvvetlendiriyor.<\/p>\n
\u201c\u00d6te yandan Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n d\u00f6viz rezervi 105.6 milyar dolar iken, k\u0131sa vadeli d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 stoku 125.7 milyar dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131 bu finansman krizinin \u00e7ok da uzak olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmekte.\u201d<\/p>\n
KESK-AR Enflasyon Raporu\u2019nda vurgulanan noktalar\u0131n baz\u0131lar\u0131 \u015funlar:<\/p>\n
* A\u00e7l\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 1,118 TL; yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 ise 3,533 TL\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131!<\/p>\n
* 2014-2015 y\u0131llar\u0131 toplu s\u00f6zle\u015fmede var\u0131lan mutabakata g\u00f6re; 2014 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in taban ayl\u0131\u011fa 175 TL art\u0131\u015f yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
175 TL br\u00fct art\u0131\u015f olup Ocak 2014’te 123 TL olarak maa\u015flara yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r. En d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maa\u015f alan kamu emek\u00e7isi Eyl\u00fcl 2014’te vergi dilimine girdi\u011finde bu miktar 116’TL’ye kadar d\u00fc\u015fecektir.<\/p>\n
*116 TL\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f sadece g\u0131da ve giyim alan\u0131ndaki fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
* Kamu emek\u00e7ileri \u00fccretlerine yap\u0131lan art\u0131\u015f, ba\u015fta kira, elektrik, su vb konut harcamalar\u0131na, artarda yap\u0131lan ula\u015f\u0131m zamlar\u0131na, paral\u0131 birer hizmete d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fclen e\u011fitim ve sa\u011fl\u0131k harcamalar\u0131na yetmiyor.<\/p>\n
* Elektrik, gaz ve su fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 19\u2019a yakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
* \u00dcretici fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda en y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015f elektrik, gaz ve su fiyatlar\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde 18,54 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen art\u0131\u015f, \u00fcretim maliyetlerini olduk\u00e7a yukar\u0131lara ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
* Dolar kurunun 2 TL\u2019ye ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fu g\u00fcnlerde, ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 \u00fcretime ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak imalat sanayi fiyatlar\u0131nda da belirgin bir art\u0131\u015f izleniyor.<\/p>\n
* Temmuz ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,16\u2019l\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fla sert bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapan imalat sanayide art\u0131\u015f, TL\u2019deki de\u011fer kayb\u0131yla da birlikte g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131nda da gelecek art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n sinyallerini ta\u015f\u0131yor. (YY)<\/p>\n